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The Value of Positive and Negative SU and ATS Streaks in the NBA - Ken Angland 

The stats in this article are through February 12, 2004.

The Atlanta Hawks (18-35) have struggled throughout the season. From December 10-20, Atlanta lost seven consecutive games both SU and ATS. Most of the games were lost by a large margin. The Hawks players’ performance level was definitely in a negative mode. However, this team posted an impressive winning streak of seven consecutive games from January 13-25. During that steak they were impressive against some top caliber teams winning SU against the Spurs and Pistons. Also, the Hawks won covered the spread against the Pacers twice. During this run they were playing with a high level of confidence, so there is some value in following a streak.

The Dallas Mavericks (33-19) have been in several streaks this season. From November 3-8, Dallas was 0-4 ATS with two of those games against weak teams (Miami and Washington). Also, from January 5-11, Dallas was 0-4 ATS once again. The players’ performance level started the ascending mode on January 12 as the Mavericks generated a winning streak of nine consecutive games in SU fashion. During this run they were 7-1-1 ATS. The confidence level was in a descending mode from January 28 - February 9 as the Mavericks posted a 2-4 record ATS. This team could very well be in several more streaks as the season progresses, so keep your eyes on this team for those situations.

The Detroit Pistons (33-21) have been in a few positive and negative streaks of their own this season. From December 6-19, the team’s confidence level was in a negative mode as the Pistons were 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS. From December 27 - January 19, this team turned things around in a big way with an awesome winning streak of 13 consecutive games. What a difference one week can make as that positive steak started one week following a negative run. At that point, the players’ performance level was definitely in a positive mode. Also, the Pistons were 10-3 ATS during this winning streak. From January 25 - February 6, Detroit was 0-6-1 ATS. The Pistons have definitely experienced their highs and lows this season, and are on another negative streak as the All-Star break approaches going 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five games. Follow this team as the second half unfolds to find out if the streak continues.

The Memphis Grizzlies (30-22) have experienced the peaks and valley of streaks this season. Memphis lost three consecutive games SU and ATS from November 25-28. And from December 29 - December 10, the light switch came on with an impressive six game winning streak SU and ATS. The players’ performance level started descending on December 20, and by December 30 this team had experienced a negative run of seven consecutive games. During this stretch of games, Memphis was 1-5-1 ATS. From January 11-25, the Grizzlies played top caliber basketball and won eight straight, covering the spread in seven of them. Follow this team as the second half starts. I expect the Grizzlies to produce more positive and negative streaks much like the first half.

The New York Knicks (25-29) have been involved in several streaks this season. From December 1-10, New York was definitely in a struggling mode going 0-6 SU and 2-4 ATS. Also, a losing streak of four games SU and ATS occurred from January 2-8. On a positive note, the Knicks, playing with a high level of confidence from December 26-30, won four consecutive games SU and ATS. Three of those games were on the road. Also, from January 30 - February 8, the emotionally charged Knicks put together another positive streak of 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS. New York has lost two straight as the All-Star break approaches. Are the Knicks in the forefront of another losing streak, or will they turn the second half around and mount a charge against the Atlantic Division leading Nets? Follow the Knicks in the second half for more peaks and valleys.

There is value in following the SU and ATS streaks, both positive and negative, in the NBA. It’s natural to attempt to predict when a team will stop a streak. I’m guilty of that at times, however, as presented in this article, it’s clear to see there is value in those streaks. So, as the second half of the NBA season starts, follow those positive and negative streaks.

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