|
Click Away for Free Picks from the Nations Best
NFL Playoffs: Is it Better to be Hot or Cold? Big Al McMordie
May 2004
Do teams have to be on a hot streak coming into the NFL playoffs? You
certainly hear coaches and players say that all the time. Coaches talk
about consistent play and not wanting their players to pick up bad habits
late in the season, which can carry over when the games really mean
something, which is the case this weekend as the NFL playoffs get
underway.
Do teams have to be on a hot streak coming into the NFL playoffs? You
certainly hear coaches and players say that all the time. Coaches talk
about consistent play and not wanting their players to pick up bad habits
late in the season, which can carry over when the games really mean
something, which is the case this weekend as the NFL playoffs get
underway.
However, good health and home field are more important than “being hot.”
For example, a year ago the Colts waltzed into the playoffs going 0-2
against the spread to end the regular season. One of those defeats was a
jolting 31-17 loss at home as a favorite against Denver. However, that
meant nothing as Indy ripped Denver 41-10 and won 38-31 at Kansas City as
a 3-point dog in the playoffs.
This is going to be a hot topic much of the week, with teams like
Minnesota, Seattle and St. Louis stumbling in the second half of the
season but still sneaking into the playoffs. But consider the Green Bay
Packers recent playoff history. Last season the Packers went 4-0 SU/ATS to
end the regular season, certainly looking playoff-ready scoring 34, 38, 41
and 31 points in those games! They then struggled in the first round of
the playoffs, needing a comeback to nip Seattle 33-27 in overtime as a
7-point home favorite. Two years ago, the Packers won 4 of their final 5
regular season games (3-2 ATS). In the first playoff game, Green Bay was a
6-point favorite at Lambeau over Atlanta, but looked completely out of
sync in a 27-7 straight up defeat.
Which means there is a little hope for a team like the Vikings, who
haven’t done anything right lately and carry a 1-6 spread run into the
postseason after losing – again – at Washington Sunday despite being a
favorite. Seattle has lost six of ten games and is 2-8 against the number,
yet still has home field this weekend. Such is life in this most-wacky of
an NFL season.
Yet, the playoffs are a whole new season. Denver won four of its final
five games a year ago, then went flat in its first playoff game against
the Colts. The miracle Chicago Bears of 2001 won seven of their final
eight regular season games and finished 11-4-1 against the spread. But
despite having a bye, Chicago got walloped 33-19 at home in their first
playoff game. While I’m not predicting any of these current NFC long-shots
to make a run through the playoffs, I am saying don’t get too fired up by
what a team has done over the last month. It’s not always a strong
indicator, both straight up and against the spread, how a team will
perform in the playoffs. The postseason offers players and coaches a fresh
slate, and many times a team can break out of its lethargy, or a hot team
can fold faster than a wet envelope. Good luck, and bet smart!...Be sure to join Big Al McMordie here for all of his winning selections, and pay only after you win!
Guaranteed Selections - Must win or there is no charge!
Owned and
operated by Alliance Sports Media
Any
information furnished by this site is for information
and entertainment only and is not to be used in
violation of any federal, state,
provincial or local laws - Privacy Policy
Contact Servus - Picks2bet.com
|