Click Away for Free Picks from the Nations Best   Consecutive Blowouts Can Mean Good Go-Against Spots by Bryan Leonard 2003 The talent pool in the NFL is so high that teams are relatively evenly matched. I know this may sound hard to believe when you see teams like the Bears and Cardinals flopping around the gridiron like a bunch of New England flounders just hauled up from a trawler. They must have far less talent than the Rams and Chiefs, you might ask. The truth is, the talent-level gap isn’t that great. Understand that even the worst team in the NFL would whip the best college football team in a game. There are only 32 NFL teams with players from over 100 colleges. And NFL teams take the best possible college talent for the pros. Ken Dorsey might have gone 23-1 at Miami with a national title his junior and senior seasons, but he wasn’t even good enough to make an NFL roster. This brings up an NFL betting angle that doesn’t come up very often, but it’s worth paying attention to and looking out for. If a team wins consecutive games by twenty points or more, that can offer a good go-against spot the next game. What’s happening is that it’s not easy for a pro football team to beat another by twenty points. It’s even harder still to do it two games in a row. An NFL team has to be playing at an extremely high level of play for two straight games to accomplish this clicking on all cylinders, as they say, with few mistakes and great execution. It’s difficult to do, especially with the gap of talent being so narrow in the pros. Doing it three straight games is even harder to do. And by that time, the public and lines-makers can offer betting value: a team off of two blowout wins is going to start to get extra respect by the bookmakers. In fact, playing against teams who have covered the spread by 20 points or more in back to back weeks is a solid 29-19 60%. Also the games tend to be low scoring as 30 of the 48 games 63% have gone under the Vegas total. For example, in 1999 the Jacksonville Jaguars whipped the Bengals 41-10 and Falcons 30-7. Both those games were on the road! The Jaguars came home as a 12-point favorite, and had to hold on for dear life to beat the Ravens, 6-3. See how difficult it can be for an offense even a very good one to maintain that kind of offensive output? Last year, the Eagles ripped the Cowboys (44-13) and Texans (35-17) early in the season and looked like world-beaters. The next game they traveled to Jacksonville and lost 28-25 as a 3-point favorite. It can even carry over into the postseason. Late last season the Jets ripped the Packers 42-17, then smoked the Colts 41-0 in the Wild Card game. Many were jumping on the Jets bandwagon as possible Super Bowl contenders, but young QB Chad Pennington looked out of sync the next game in a 30-10 loss to Oakland. Many factors are coming into play for sports bettors and line-makers. So look carefully if you see an NFL team whip two straight opponents badly. They might not be as dominant as they appear especially against the number the next week. Don't miss Bryan Leonard's Guaranteed NFL Selections Owned and operated by Alliance Sports Media  Any information furnished by this site is for information and entertainment only and is not to be used in violation of any federal, state, provincial or local laws - Privacy Policy Contact Servus - Picks2bet.com