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NBA Coaches: Are
They Really Important - Bryan
Leonard Dec 03 2003
"Anybody can coach the Lakers or the Spurs and win 60
games."
How often have you heard comments similar to that? There is some
truth in that, when you compare basketball to other sports. For
example, it would be extremely difficult for a great NBA head
coach like Red Auerbach or Phil Jackson to take over the Orlando
Magic or the Clippers right now and turn them around in time to
make the playoffs. And they certainly wouldn’t be able to go
deep into the playoffs in basketball you need to have the
horses.
Football is different. Bill Parcels once said that it’s not
that difficult a trick to take a 2-14 team and, through
discipline and hard work, turn that bunch into an 8-8 or 9-7
team. He’s done it, too, several times. Parcels took
consistently losing teams like the Giants, Patriots, Jets and
now the Cowboys and turned them into contenders in the blink of
an eye. He’s taken two of those franchises to the Super Bowl,
took the Jets to the 1999 AFC Championship game, and currently
is working his magic again with the Cowboys making a playoff run
in just his first season.
Parcels took a 2-14 Patriots team to the playoffs in just two
seasons and had them in the Super Bowl in four years. He then
took a 1-15 Jets team and went 9-7 the next year and 13-5 the
next before losing to Denver in the AFC title game. Bob Stoops
took a floundering Oklahoma program and in just his second
season (2000) went undefeated and won college football’s
national championship.
Basketball is different because there are so few players. You
have five starters and one or two role players off the bench. If
you don’t have some top-notch talent among those few players,
even a great coach can’t get them to be an elite team.
However, coaches can be very significant in basketball in more
subtle ways that can help a team and help bettors who are
looking for edges against the spread. Jackson was the missing
piece a talented Lakers team needed in 1999 and he taught them
how to play defense, something that was severely lacking. LA
went 56-42-2 against the spread in his first season with the
Lakers. Shaq and Kobe were grateful, because they were able to
taste champagne instead of disappointment, celebrating the first
of three straight titles once Jackson came aboard.
Contrast that with Shaq’s first coach, Brian Hill, who was in
over his head when Orlando made it to the 1995 NBA Finals, but
got swept by Houston. Hill was axed a year later, had a brief
stint with the Grizzlies before he was fired again and hasn’t
come close to seeing an NBA head coaching job since.
Good coaches can bring such assets as defense, like Jackson and
San Antonio’s Gregg Popovich, motivation, or the ability to
teach young players subtle fundamentals that lead to winning.
Hubie Brown has been a great addition to the young Memphis
Grizzlies over the last year, bringing all three components.
There have been some interesting coaching changes in the NBA
this season. Let’s take a look at a few who’ve made
significant, subtle, positive changes.
Pacers:
Dumping Isiah Thomas was the best medicine for this talented
club. What stands out about Indiana last year under Thomas was
that the Pacers were a great team at home, and a completely
different club on the road. Last year the Pacers were 34-10
straight up at home and 26-18 against the spread at home. But on
the road, you wouldn’t recognize the underachieving Pacers, as
they were 16-28 straight up and 17-26-1 against the number!
New coach Rick Carlisle did a terrific job as an assistant in
Indiana under Larry Bird, and then helped to get the Pistons to
play strong, team-oriented ball as one of the best teams in the
East. It was surprising to see him fired, but it didn’t take
him long to land another head coaching job, back with his old
haunt Indiana.
After 18 games, the Pacers went 15-3 SU and 13-5 ATS. And notice
the breakdown: Indiana was 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS at home and 8-1 SU
7-2 ATS on the road! He has brought that same ability to teach
unselfish play and defense, and notice that Indiana has gone
13-5 under the total.
Rockets:
And speaking of defense, have you noticed Houston under new
coach Jeff Van Gundy? They play the same stifling defense his
teams were known for when he was with the Knicks. Houston is
allowing 81 points per game at home (84 ppg overall) and they
went under the total in 11 of their first 16 games. The young
Rockets still have trouble winning on the road which was a
problem last season and it will be interesting to watch if they
begin to improve away from home under the new coach.
Grizzlies:
No longer laughing stocks of the NBA, this is a talented, tall
and young Memphis team on the rise. They began just 3-3 at home
and that included a 105-95 win as a +7 dog over the Lakers. Even
more impressive is that they are gaining confidence on the road,
starting 5-5 SU and ATS where the offense scores close to 95
points per game.
Yes, coaches can make a difference. When Rick Pitino resigned
from the Celtics a few years ago, the team suddenly began
winning under Jim O’Brien’s no-nonsense guidance. We’ve
also seen teams with good young talent - Orlando and Chicago -
recently fire their head coaches because the players were
underachieving. Watch carefully how the players respond for
their new coach, and look even closer for subtle changes like
improved defense and good or bad road play. Identifying tiny
subtleties can help you cash some big tickets at the betting
window!
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